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However, the development of basin-wide La Nina conditions at this time of the year is highly unusual, hence there is some additional uncertainty over the extent to which typical La Nina rainfall and temperature patterns will occur for this event. Furthermore, the La Nina conditions are expected to be relatively short-lived, with a return to neutral conditions across the equatorial Pacific likely by mid-year or shortly thereafter.
At this time of the year, a continuation, or persistence, of prevailing conditions in the tropical Pacific is least likely, with the March to May period often witnessing marked transitions between phases of El Nino/La Nina...
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