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This is slightly lower than the median real return of 4.8% in 15 countries from 1900-2000 surveyed by Dimson et al.
As a result, the paper also use "adjusted" stock market returns designed to match the median stock return in 15 countries from 1900-2000; this is slightly above the return in the Wall Street Journal survey and is a more accurate projection of future returns.
Life-cycle Portfolio: The paper analyzes a range of potential portfolios. The featured portfolio is a "lifecycle portfolio" designed to capture the President's proposal. According to the President's plan, workers would be defaulted in a specific mixture of stocks and bonds...
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