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Fama-French developed a random walk empirical approach (1992), and we could've adopted their model. But we chose to stick with CAPM and ended up with an erroneous analysis.
We were also inexperienced with trading stocks. We did not know how to time entries and exits properly, and relied on long-term investment methods. While day-to-day traders might thrive in this harsh financial environment, inexperienced amateurs like us did not survive. Tyler Cowen (1995) explained that, on average, amateurs performed 12.28% worse than experts in the trading arena.
We also adopted an aggressive strategy. Over 95% of our portfolio was put into stocks...
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