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The fundamental key to this unfolding drama is the American Consumer. From 2001 to 2005, at the end of the economic recession, consumption spending accounted for 78% of the increase in output, with spending on housing construction comprising another 13%. Throughout the past year, consumption has captivated pretty well, sweeping 70% of growth in the first three quaters of 2006. Expectation was arrived of this continuation in this basic pattern?"consumption at a level that is adequate to maintain forward momentum in spite of continuing declines in the housing sector." Inflation will considerate a little from 2006, with an assist from relative stability in energy prices...
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